Swvl Holdings Corp Stock Analysis

SWVL Stock  USD 2.14  0.33  18.23%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Swvl Holdings Corp extending back to March 15, 2021. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Swvl Holdings stands at 2.14, as last reported on the 3rd of February, with the highest price reaching 2.45 and the lowest price hitting 1.96 during the day.
IPO Date
31st of March 2022
200 Day MA
3.3668
50 Day MA
2.2981
Beta
0.861
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Swvl Holdings' Net Debt To EBITDA is quite stable compared to the past year. Debt To Equity is expected to rise to 0.50 this year, although the value of Net Debt is projected to rise to (4.1 M). Swvl Holdings' financial risk is the risk to Swvl Holdings stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.
 
Debt Ratio  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
0.0663
Current Value
0.063
Quarterly Volatility
0.31985232
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Swvl Holdings' Total Stockholder Equity is quite stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is expected to rise to about 29.2 M this year, although the value of Capital Stock will most likely fall to about 21.2 K. . The value of Price To Sales Ratio is estimated to slide to 3.51. The value of Price Earnings Ratio is estimated to slide to -5.05.
Swvl Holdings Corp is overvalued with Real Value of 1.88 and Target Price of 125.0. The main objective of Swvl Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Swvl Holdings Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Swvl Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Swvl Holdings stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Swvl Holdings Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Swvl Stock Analysis Notes

The company recorded a loss per share of 0.52. Swvl Holdings Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:25 split on the 26th of January 2023. Swvl Holdings Corp. provides mass transit ridesharing services. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates. Swvl Holdings is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States. To find out more about Swvl Holdings Corp contact Mostafa Kandil at 971 4 224 1293 or learn more at https://www.swvl.com.

Swvl Holdings Quarterly Total Revenue

5.28 Million

Swvl Holdings Corp Investment Alerts

Swvl Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Swvl Holdings Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Swvl Holdings Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds 1.21 M in liabilities. Swvl Holdings Corp has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Swvl Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 17.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.08 M.
Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds about 24.3 M in cash with (3.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Swvl Secures a New Five-Year Contract of Up To 5.5 Million in the UAE, Its Fastest-Growing Market Following 5x Growth in 2025

Swvl Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Swvl Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-04-13
2022-03-31-0.17-0.21-0.0423 
2023-03-01
2022-12-31-0.08-0.53-0.45562 
2023-07-14
2023-06-30-0.150.350.5333 
View All Earnings Estimates

Swvl Holdings Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Swvl Holdings' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Swvl Holdings' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Swvl Holdings' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Swvl Holdings' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Swvl Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2025-06-30
11.6 K
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
11.1 K
Marathon Trading Investment Management Llc2025-06-30
10 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
3.6 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2025-06-30
48.0
Sbi Securities Co Ltd2025-06-30
17.0
Hanson Mcclain Inc2025-06-30
1.0
Gerber Llc2025-03-31
0.0
Hite Hedge Asset Management Mlp2025-03-31
0.0
Note, although Swvl Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Swvl Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 19.63 M.

Swvl Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.22) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.04) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.04.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.57)(0.60)
Return On Capital Employed(19.59)(18.62)
Return On Assets(0.57)(0.60)
Return On Equity(4.08)(4.28)

Management Efficiency

Swvl Holdings Corp has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1974) % which means that it has lost $0.1974 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (4.2339) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Swvl Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Swvl Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -0.6. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -18.62 this year. At this time, Swvl Holdings' Total Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Total Current Assets is expected to rise to about 19.2 M this year, although the value of Net Tangible Assets are projected to rise to (81.4 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(0.09)(0.10)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(0.09)(0.11)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(4.39)(4.61)
Price Book Value Ratio 27.83  26.44 
Enterprise Value Multiple(4.39)(4.61)
Price Fair Value 27.83  26.44 
Enterprise Value46.3 M27.4 M
The leadership approach at Swvl Holdings' fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
(0.04)
Profit Margin
(0.22)
Beta
0.861
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(4.23)

Technical Drivers

As of the 3rd of February, Swvl Holdings has the Coefficient Of Variation of (904.48), variance of 30.63, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Swvl Holdings Corp, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Swvl Holdings Corp risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and kurtosis to decide if Swvl Holdings is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 2.14 per share. Please also confirm Swvl Holdings Corp jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.60) to double-check the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Swvl Holdings Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Swvl Holdings middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Swvl Holdings Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Swvl Holdings Outstanding Bonds

Swvl Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Swvl Holdings Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Swvl bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Swvl Holdings Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Swvl Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Swvl Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Swvl Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Swvl Holdings Forecast Models

Swvl Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Swvl Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Swvl Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Swvl Holdings Corp Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Swvl Holdings, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds 1.21 M in liabilities. Swvl Holdings Corp has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Swvl Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Swvl Holdings Total Assets Over Time

Swvl Holdings Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Swvl Holdings uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Swvl Holdings Debt Ratio

    
  6.3   
It seems most of the Swvl Holdings' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Swvl Holdings' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Swvl Holdings, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Swvl Holdings Corporate Bonds Issued

Swvl Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

1.32 Million

At this time, Swvl Holdings' Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year.

About Swvl Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Swvl Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Swvl shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Swvl Holdings. By using and applying Swvl Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Swvl entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.58)(0.61)
Operating Profit Margin(0.44)(0.47)
Net Loss(0.54)(0.57)
Gross Profit Margin 0.19  0.20 

Current Swvl Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Swvl analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Swvl analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
125.0Hold1Odds
Swvl Holdings Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Swvl analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Swvl stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Swvl Holdings Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Swvl conference calls.
Swvl Analyst Advice Details

Swvl Stock Analysis Indicators

Swvl Holdings Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Swvl Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Swvl Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Swvl Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Swvl Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow2.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity2.3 M
Net Borrowings-411.2 K
Capital Lease ObligationsM
Property Plant And Equipment Net690.4 K
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM
Net Invested Capital2.4 M
CashM
50 Day M A2.2981
Net Interest Income-39.4 K
Total Current Liabilities15.9 M
Investments583.4 K
Interest Expense41 K
Stock Based Compensation56.5 K
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities583.4 K
Free Cash Flow-3.6 M
Other Current Assets328.6 K
Accounts Payable5.7 M
Net Debt-3.8 M
Depreciation470.1 K
Other Operating Expenses25.7 M
Non Current Assets Total6.1 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity16.4 M
Non Currrent Assets Other1522.00
When determining whether Swvl Holdings Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Swvl Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Swvl Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Swvl Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Swvl Holdings Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Swvl Holdings. If investors know Swvl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Swvl Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(0.52)
Revenue Per Share
2.062
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.263
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(4.23)
Understanding Swvl Holdings Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Swvl's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Swvl Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Swvl Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swvl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swvl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Swvl Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.